Earnings Split Market

15%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.8%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Investors move from buying the AI theme broadly to differentiating among companies with proven cash flow, cloud pricing power and semiconductor execution. The Nasdaq remains volatile, but dispersion rises more than broad index downside.

What it moves

Technology−1.4%
Utilities+0.6%
Market volatility▲ up
10-year Treasury yield▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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