Possible scenario
Strikes Continue
−0.5%
Russia continues its campaign against Ukrainian civilian and logistics sites, betting that repeated strikes will exhaust air defenses and public morale. Western governments respond rhetorically and with limited military replenishment, but avoid steps that would materially widen the conflict.
What it moves
- Industrials+0.5%
- Consumer Cyclicals−0.2%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
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