Possible scenario
Loss Estimate Worsens
−0.2%
Forensics reveal additional compromised wallets, higher remediation costs, or legal claims beyond the initial $40 million figure. The exchange still tries to protect customer balances, but credibility and capital adequacy come under sharper pressure.
What it moves
- Technology−0.4%
- Finance−0.4%
- Bitcoin
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.