Possible scenario
Confidence Damage Spreads
−0.1%
Even though Mercado Bitcoin absorbs the loss, users across Latin America reduce exchange balances following the Bybit, Binance, and Mercado Bitcoin incidents. The stress remains crypto-sector specific rather than a full financial-market event.
What it moves
- Technology−0.2%
- Finance−0.1%
- Bitcoin
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.