Narrow Democratic Control

its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The projected victories in New Jersey and Delaware hold, and Democrats secure just enough battleground wins to take a narrow Senate majority. This is the base case because final polls and forecasts already favored Democrats, limiting surprise in markets.

What it moves

Utilities+0.5%
Healthcare−0.4%
Market volatility▼ down
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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