Larger Democratic Wave

its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.3%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Democrats outperform the already favorable projections and turn the five projected victories into a more comfortable Senate majority. This would raise expectations for hearings, confirmations, and legislation tied to healthcare, clean energy, labor, and financial regulation.

What it moves

Utilities+1.3%
Healthcare−1.3%
10-year Treasury yield▲ up
Market volatility▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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