Hedge Quickly Reversed

40%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.4%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The most likely outcome is that Trump’s comments remain tactical rather than the start of a formal break with Nvidia. The White House continues to value Nvidia’s role in AI leadership and the 25% revenue-sharing arrangement for H200 China sales.

What it moves

Technology+0.6%

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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