Possible scenario
Late Count Reorders Map
10%
+0.2%
With only two-thirds counted, absentee, soldier, diplomatic, and special ballots can still alter the seat distribution at the margin. This scenario covers a clearer-than-expected final result that changes the bargaining leverage before Herzog begins formal consultations.
What it moves
- Finance+0.2%
- Consumer Services+0.1%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.