Recount Fight

11%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The statewide margin lands close enough that the trailing campaign demands a recount and both parties mobilize legal teams. The result may still favor the initial leader, but certification becomes the central issue for several days.

What it moves

Energy−0.3%
Finance−0.2%
Market volatility▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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