• 

  

  60%

  +0.7%

  Constructive Anthropic public-listing read-through to AI investment

  A constructive Anthropic listing would strengthen AI financing, compute investment and software confidence, lifting the broad equity market 0.5% and adding $480B over 20 days. Technology wins as accelerator demand flows into chip suppliers, while finance, healthcare, industrials, energy and materials lose ground as capital concentrates in AI infrastructure.

  Technology +2.3% · Materials −1.5% · Consumer Services −1.3%

• 

  

  26%

  −0.3%

  Anthropic pre-IPO filing or roadshow reveals elevated AI compute intensity

  Revealed compute intensity raises infrastructure demand but also revives concern that AI spending will outrun near-term profits. Over 20 days, the broad equity market falls 0.3%, erasing $288B across covered holdings. Infrastructure demand creates selective beneficiaries, but valuation pressure leaves the largest technology holdings and most sectors lower.

  Non-Energy Materials −0.3% · Technology −0.3% · Finance −0.3%

• 

  

  16%

  −0.3%

  Anthropic IPO postponement or withdrawal before trading

  An Anthropic IPO delay or withdrawal modestly weakens confidence in frontier-AI financing, trimming the broad equity market 0.3% and about $288B in value over 20 days. Technology bears the largest loss as investors price some deferral of incremental compute spending, while healthcare and telecommunications prove comparatively resilient. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), Microsoft (MSFT), and Alphabet (GOOGL) decline as the financing signal reaches chips, cloud capacity, and AI-linked valuations.

  Technology −0.4% · Finance −0.3% · Consumer Non-Cyclicals −0.3%

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if it happens. For information only. Not investment advice.