The updated index reflects a shift in the perception of political power across the US government. Kalshi uses the live tracking tool to provide an assessment of party strength as the 2026 election cycle approaches its final weeks.
Wednesday, October 21, 2026
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US Politics22 days ago
The standing of the Democratic party has improved on the American Power Index with 36 days remaining before the Nov 3 midterm elections. The party now holds a lead of +3.8 on the Kalshi prediction market, its most favorable level of 2026, following a surge in movement during September.

The updated index reflects a shift in the perception of political power across the US government. Kalshi uses the live tracking tool to provide an assessment of party strength as the 2026 election cycle approaches its final weeks.
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Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.