Race Becomes Toss-Up

22%its chance, of the story’s futures

0.0%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The Musk-Bush clash nationalizes the race and drives both campaigns’ fundraising. Talarico gains credibility with anti-Paxton Republicans while Paxton benefits from conservative backlash, leaving the contest highly competitive.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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