Possible scenario
Paxton Consolidates Right
28%
0.0%
Musk’s attack hardens conservative voters around Paxton and gives Republican media a simple message tying Talarico to socialism. The GOP uses the Bush endorsement to argue that establishment Republicans are helping Democrats retake a Texas Senate seat.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.