Possible scenario
Serbia coalition test
15%
+0.1%
Serbia becomes the more uncertain leg after the election as the Student List turns protest momentum into parliamentary arithmetic. Brazil’s result is accepted, but Belgrade’s coalition talks determine whether the anti-Vučić win becomes a stable government or a prolonged institutional standoff.
What it moves
- Industrials+0.2%
- Finance+0.1%
- Copper
- Market volatility
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