Modest Democratic Flip

42%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Democrats convert high-profile MAGA defeats, including Scott Perry’s loss, into a narrow but workable House majority. Markets treat the result mostly as divided-government gridlock under President Trump rather than a wholesale policy shock.

What it moves

Technology+0.3%
Healthcare−0.3%
10-year Treasury yield▼ down
Market volatility▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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