Sanctions Stay Symbolic

45%its chance, of the story’s futures

0.0%on the S&P 500, if it happens

China keeps the penalties focused on the named Paraguayan and Belizean officials, using visa bans and asset-freeze language as a political warning rather than a broader economic tool. Paraguay and Belize protest the move but do not materially change their Taiwan policy.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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