Temporary Soft Patch

its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The flat August reading could reflect temporary drags after a strong second quarter, including maintenance shutdowns, volatile inventories, or timing effects in resource and service activity. In this scenario, incoming September and October data show the economy is slow but not stalling.

What it moves

Consumer Services+0.4%
Energy+0.4%
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▼ down
Market volatility▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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