Possible scenario
Political Probe Escalates
10%
+0.1%
Congressional Republicans and Democrats could use the report to scrutinize why Trump reportedly took no action after being briefed in October. This path raises political pressure but does not necessarily produce immediate export-control changes.
What it moves
- Technology+0.3%
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.