Backlash Hardens Sanctions

15%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.9%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The proposal collapses after Russia demands excessive concessions or escalates attacks in Ukraine. Washington and Brussels respond by tightening sanctions enforcement, ending any near-term prospect of Western participation in Russian energy ventures.

What it moves

Energy+1.1%
Utilities−0.5%
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up
Market volatility▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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