Scalise Builds Majority

its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Steve Scalise uses seniority, whip relationships and member fatigue with public factional fights to assemble a majority. Trump’s refusal to endorse either candidate lets members vote on internal relationships rather than loyalty signaling.

What it moves

Finance+0.1%
Industrials+0.1%
Market volatility▼ down
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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