Jordan Prevails Narrowly

its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Jim Jordan converts Trump’s non-endorsement into a neutrality advantage, arguing that no outside force blocked his bid. Conservatives and many pro-Trump members consolidate behind him after Johnson exits and Scalise fails to broaden support beyond institutional Republicans.

What it moves

Industrials−0.1%
Market volatility▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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