Compromise Candidate Emerges

Neither Scalise nor Jordan can clear the internal threshold, and members look for a third candidate to avoid replaying the 2023 speaker fight. Tom Emmer, Elise Stefanik or another leadership figure becomes viable if both camps conclude that prolonged balloting would damage the conference.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.