Possible scenario
Leadership Fight Drags
−0.1%
Trump’s neutrality leaves both Scalise and Jordan without a decisive signal, and neither camp yields quickly. The conference delays a final decision, reviving memories of the 2023 speaker chaos even though the immediate policy stakes are lower because Republicans have lost the House.
What it moves
- Technology−0.1%
- Finance−0.1%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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