Results Upheld, Coalition Forms

45%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The most likely path is that the Central Elections Committee and courts treat the foreign-funding probe as a criminal and campaign-finance matter, not a basis to void ballots. Gadi Eisenkot is able to move forward with coalition negotiations while Shin Bet and police continue investigating Qatar, Iran and Pakistan links.

What it moves

Technology+0.1%
Finance+0.1%
Market volatility▼ down
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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