Possible scenario
Political Crisis Deepens
10%
−0.4%
A lower-probability path is that the results technically stand but the foreign-funding probe destroys coalition legitimacy or bargaining capacity. Israel could move toward another election or face severe political disruption even without a formal annulment of the 2026 result.
What it moves
- Technology−0.3%
- Finance−0.2%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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