Narrow Check On Trump

its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Democrats use a 228-seat House majority to block major Republican legislation, revive oversight of the Trump administration, and shape must-pass bills. Because the result was strongly signaled by district ratings and exit polls, the immediate market response is modest and focused on sectors exposed to regulation and fiscal brinkmanship.

What it moves

Utilities+0.3%
Finance−0.2%
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up
10-year Treasury yield▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Keeping an eye on this scenario?