Bipartisan Fiscal Bargain

its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Democratic leaders leverage the majority to negotiate on expiring tax provisions, Affordable Care Act subsidies, and disaster aid. The most likely market read is slightly constructive if lawmakers avoid immediate shutdown threats and preserve consumer support.

What it moves

Healthcare+0.7%
Industrials−0.2%
Market volatility▼ down
10-year Treasury yield▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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