Saudi Retaliation
−0.3%
Riyadh could respond to repeated attacks on Medina, Riyadh, and energy facilities with targeted strikes against Houthi missile and drone infrastructure. This would raise headline risk but would remain below a direct Saudi-Iran confrontation unless casualties or oil disruptions follow.
What it moves
- Energy+0.8%
- Consumer Services−0.7%
- Market volatility
- Oil prices
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.