Netanyahu Narrow Majority

42%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.3%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The Channel 12 exit poll proves broadly accurate and Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud-led bloc secures a bare Knesset majority. Coalition talks move quickly with Shas, United Torah Judaism and far-right partners, but the large Arab-party presence keeps parliamentary margins thin.

What it moves

Energy+0.3%
Industrials+0.2%
Market volatility▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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