Deadlock And Recount

20%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.5%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The final result lands near parity, with neither camp able to form a stable government. Recounts, soldiers’ ballots and disputes over disqualified votes keep the political outlook unresolved for several days.

What it moves

Market volatility▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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