Possible scenario
Snap Election Path
10%
−0.4%
Coalition talks ultimately fail and Israel moves toward another election or an extended caretaker period. This remains less likely because Ra’am’s acceptance of terms creates a pathway to a majority, but Israel’s fragmented party system and post-war polarization still make breakdown plausible.
What it moves
- Finance−0.5%
- Energy+0.2%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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