Ra’am becomes kingmaker

25%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Despite the arrests, Ra’am remains the pivotal faction because neither bloc has a majority. Mansour Abbas uses the leverage to demand Arab municipal funding and crime-prevention commitments while both camps weigh the political cost of relying on Ra’am votes.

What it moves

Finance+0.3%
Consumer Services+0.1%
Market volatility▼ down
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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