Deadlock forces rerun

8%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.3%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The stolen-election dispute and Ra’am bribery case make both blocs unwilling or unable to assemble 61 seats. Israel enters another mandate cycle, with the risk of a new election rising if no party can bridge the gap.

What it moves

Finance−0.3%
Consumer Services−0.1%
Market volatility▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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