The one point margin is tighter than previous results, such as a Big Data poll from Sept. 24 that placed El-Sayed ahead 47% to 42%. According to a Senate polling average, El-Sayed has led in 8 of 9 polls conducted this month with a 3.3 point lead over Rogers. Additional data indicates Democrats are more trusted than Republicans to handle three of the top five voting issues for Michigan voters in 2026.
