Peltola leads by 28 points in urban areas and 25 points among voters aged 18 to 29, and maintains 56% support among unaffiliated voters. Sullivan offsets these margins with a 21 point advantage in rural areas and an 11 point lead among men. One polling tracker deleted its results on Oct 2, stating the data was not final and still being fielded.
Tuesday, October 20, 2026
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Sullivan and Peltola Tied in Alaska Senate Poll
US Politics18 days ago
Incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan holds 46.1% of first-choice votes against Democrat Mary Peltola's 45.5% in a Quantus Insights survey of 737 likely voters. The result is a statistical tie given the ±4.0 point margin of error, with other candidates Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. and Gerald L. Heikes polling at 1.6% and 1.3% respectively. In a simulated final ranked-choice voting round, Sullivan maintains a slim lead of 50.3% to Peltola's 49.7% as of fieldwork ending Sept 30, 34 days before Election Day.
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