Republicans Hold Senate

37%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Talarico flips the Texas seat, but Republicans win enough other races to retain the chamber. In this outcome, the Texas result is politically historic but has limited immediate federal policy impact.

What it moves

Energy+0.5%
Finance+0.3%
10-year Treasury yield▲ up
Market volatility▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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