Steube Upset Win

Steube pulls off a low-probability upset if Jordan and Scalise fatally split their coalitions and members decide to elevate a younger, more insurgent conservative. This would mark a sharp symbolic break from the pre-election leadership structure, though Republicans’ minority status limits near-term policy implications.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.