Scalise Prevails

its chance, of the story’s futures

0.0%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Steve Scalise’s existing leadership network, fundraising ties, and relationships with appropriators and swing-district Republicans give him a path to victory. Members who want a more disciplined recovery after losing the House majority coalesce around him.

What it moves

Market volatility▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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