Possible scenario
Leadership Race Deadlocks
−0.1%
Jordan, Scalise, and Steube each retain enough support to prevent a quick majority inside the GOP conference. The party postpones or extends voting while members search for a compromise or pressure one candidate to withdraw.
What it moves
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.