PA-1 Result Contested

15%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Republicans scrutinize the PA-1 count because Fitzpatrick had long been one of the party’s strongest suburban incumbents. The most likely outcome is that Harvie’s lead survives, but the process could delay certification if the margin is narrow enough.

What it moves

Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up
Market volatility▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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