Moderate Bloc Reforms

15%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Fitzpatrick’s defeat despite Joe Manchin’s endorsement becomes a lesson for both parties about suburban moderation and anti-Trump voting patterns. Harvie may govern as a pragmatic Democrat in a swing district rather than as a left-flank member.

What it moves

Industrials+0.2%
Business Services+0.1%
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▼ down
Market volatility▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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