Inflationary pressures are expanding beyond energy into goods and services, though market participants are currently pricing in nearly five hikes. In the immediate term, Kalshi data indicates a 70% probability that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady during its October meeting.
Tuesday, October 20, 2026
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UBS Forecasts 3 Fed Rate Hikes Through March 2027
US Markets5 days ago
UBS has revised its interest rate forecast to include a hike in December and a final increase in the first quarter of 2027. The bank now projects a total of three Fed rate hikes after September's headline CPI reached 3.7% year over year, with the central bank then pausing tightening until late 2027.
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