Possible scenario
Projection Gets Contested
20%
+0.1%
The forecasted 55-45 majority proves directionally right but legally and politically messy, with Republicans contesting late-counted ballots in several states. This path creates the largest short-term uncertainty because Senate control is expected to change, but the exact seat count remains unresolved.
What it moves
- Energy+0.6%
- Healthcare+0.4%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
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