Salazar Win Certified

47%its chance, of the story’s futures

0.0%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Maria Elvira Salazar’s recovered lead survives the remaining Miami-Dade count, keeping Florida’s 27th District in Republican hands. The outcome fits the district’s recent rightward Latino shift, even with immigration enforcement tensions cutting into the GOP’s early-vote advantage.

What it moves

Market volatility▼ down
10-year Treasury yield▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Keeping an eye on this scenario?