Possible scenario
Prolonged Recount Fight
15%
−0.2%
The race remains within recount territory after the first canvass, forcing additional review under Florida law. The dispute keeps the district unsettled for days or weeks and becomes a national proxy fight over mail ballots, deportation politics, and Miami-Dade election administration.
What it moves
- Finance−0.2%
- Technology−0.1%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.