Relief Rally Extends

42%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.9%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The most likely path is a short-term continuation of Tuesday’s rebound as investors treat the chip-led correction as overdone. Bargain-hunting in AI hardware and megacap software helps stabilize the Nasdaq Composite, though gains remain sensitive to yields and capex commentary.

What it moves

Technology+1.5%
Business Services+0.4%
Market volatility▼ down
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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