The increase in coercion occurs as Middle East oil exports show resilience. Data from Kpler reveals regional shipments topped the pre-war average of 18 million BPD on four days in late September, peaking between 19.5 million and 22.5 million BPD. Shell CEO Wael Sawan stated regional flows have recovered to 80-plus percent of pre-war levels, though security remains volatile with Marisks reporting at least seven shipping incidents including a fire on the Kazimah III on Oct. 1.
