The storm would be the first hurricane in the Atlantic basin this year, following a quiet season driven by a strong El Niño pattern. Current projections indicate a path potentially impacting southeast Louisiana, southern Mississippi, coastal Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle. While some models suggest the storm may shift east, Google DeepMind's simulations show a 68% probability that the system reaches hurricane strength before landfall.
Tuesday, October 20, 2026
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Tropical Depression Nine's Formation Threatens 2M Bpd in First Hurricane
Commodities14 days ago
Hurricane Isaias is forecast to bring wind and heavy rain to the northern Gulf Coast starting this weekend. The system officially formed as Tropical Depression Nine and is projected to strengthen into a Category 2 hurricane by Thursday, with peak winds near 100 mph. This landfall threatens nearly 2 million barrels per day of US oil refining capacity, including the Marathon Garyville and ExxonMobil Baton Rouge plants. Shell has begun monitoring its Stones, Mars, Olympus, Ursa, Vito, and Appomattox assets as a precaution.
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