Possible scenario
Glancing Gulf Impact
40% Chance
Tropical Depression Nine strengthens enough to force precautionary evacuations and temporary shut-ins, but the core misses the densest offshore and refining assets. This is the most likely path because early-stage Gulf systems often trigger defensive platform moves before track certainty improves.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.2%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.1%
Tickers
- TALO-0.9%
- -0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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