Possible scenario
Narrow Democratic Control
42%
−0.4%
Democrats convert Sabato’s narrow advantage into a bare Senate majority, helped by open-seat weakness in North Carolina and late-cycle Republican slippage in Alaska and Maine. The outcome is plausible because the forecast follows multiple rating moves toward Democrats in Alaska, Kansas and other battlegrounds.
What it moves
- Energy−0.7%
- Finance−0.6%
- 10-year Treasury yield
- Market volatility
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